THE CRYPTO RESEARCH DESK
My researchGood research leaves a record.
Find a question. Read what settles it. Write down your view before the answer arrives.
FROM A HUNCH TO A THESISWhat do you believe?
What do you believe?
And what would change it?
Keep your probability, reasoning, and source links together. Every thesis gets a dated page you can revisit and share.
Find your first market01
Read the actual rules
The question in the headline is only the start.
02
Put your thesis on record
Your reasoning, probability, and invalidation.
03
Return when things change
Add a follow-up. Keep the original intact.
Free during the beta · No wallet needed
Questions worth following 20
Selected crypto markets · Prices reflect the venue, not an independent forecast.
MARKET / RESOLUTIONYES PRICE
Treasuries
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
3%YES
$5.8K24h volume
A NOTE ON PROBABILITY
The price is a starting point.
Markets reflect the people trading them. Read the resolution conditions, check the references, and make your own assessment.
How to read this desk HELP SHAPE THE DESK
What would make you come back?
We’re testing a small idea: better records make for better research. Tell us what’s missing.