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Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Will Base launch a token by ___ ? · Polymarket
VENUE YES PRICE5.5%Market-implied probability
NO94.5%
24h volume$3.9K
Liquidity$21.4K
StatusOpen

What actually settles this?

CONTRACT DEADLINEJan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

This is the market’s deadline, not an announced event date. The rules below determine settlement.

RESOLUTION RULES From Polymarket, verbatim
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Read on Polymarket

From the primary source

Dated context reviewed by Kairos. Check the source for later changes; these notes do not determine the market’s outcome.

Base

Base's statement on exploring a network token

Source dated Sep 15, 2025 · Reviewed Oct 23, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC

On September 15, 2025, Base announced that it was exploring a network token. The post said there were no definitive plans or specifics about timing, design, or governance at that time. It establishes an official statement of exploration on that date.

Historical context, not a current launch-status check. Exploration does not establish that an official token became transferable or tradable. This post alone cannot determine whether a later launch occurred or how the market should resolve.

Resolution references

Links identified in the venue’s rules and resolution source. Kairos has not independently verified the linked claims.

No external reference links are provided in the venue’s rules.